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Exponential smoothing. Exponential smoothing or exponential moving average (EMA) is a rule of thumb technique for smoothing time series data using the exponential window function. Whereas in the simple moving average the past observations are weighted equally, exponential functions are used to assign exponentially decreasing weights over time.
Trend analysis is the widespread practice of collecting information and attempting to spot a pattern. In some fields of study, the term has more formally defined meanings. [1] [2] [3] Although trend analysis is often used to predict future events, it could be used to estimate uncertain events in the past, such as how many ancient kings probably ...
In statistics, a moving average ( rolling average or running average or moving mean [1] or rolling mean) is a calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different selections of the full data set. Variations include: simple, cumulative, or weighted forms. Mathematically, a moving average is a type of convolution.
Jonckheere's trend test. In statistics, the Jonckheere trend test [1] (sometimes called the Jonckheere–Terpstra [2] test) is a test for an ordered alternative hypothesis within an independent samples (between-participants) design. It is similar to the Kruskal-Wallis test in that the null hypothesis is that several independent samples are from ...
Predictive analytics is a form of business analytics applying machine learning to generate a predictive model for certain business applications. As such, it encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from predictive modeling and machine learning that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future or otherwise unknown events.
As defined by Theil (1950), the Theil–Sen estimator of a set of two-dimensional points (xi, yi) is the median m of the slopes (yj − yi)/ (xj − xi) determined by all pairs of sample points. Sen (1968) extended this definition to handle the case in which two data points have the same x coordinate. In Sen's definition, one takes the median ...
The Cochran–Armitage test for trend, [1] [2] named for William Cochran and Peter Armitage, is used in categorical data analysis when the aim is to assess for the presence of an association between a variable with two categories and an ordinal variable with k categories. It modifies the Pearson chi-squared test to incorporate a suspected ...
Linear trend estimation. Linear trend estimation is a statistical technique used to analyze data patterns. Data patterns, or trends, occur when the information gathered "tends" to increase or decrease over time. Linear trend estimation essentially creates a straight line on a graph of data that models the general direction that the data is heading.