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The last two elections were razor thin. This map reflects this to some degree. I wish they left the electoral numbers off the top. A few more of this states could be yellow or maybe a lighter version of the red or blue lean. Like a lean almost toss up.
There are very few people that saw what trump was about and didn’t vote for him in 2016 or 2020, that will vote for him in 2024. On the flip side, trump has doubled down on being trump, and I think there are deffinately some voters that voted for him in 2016 and 2020 that will be turned off by that.
Trump vs Harris, I think NV has a chance of going Red - Harris would lose Washoe County in 2024 over her lack of white working-class appeal, which could allow for Trump to take the state by a Tilt margin if he runs it up heavily in the rural areas.
Posted by u/Peeecee7896 - 1 vote and no comments
I don't think the same electoral map has ever been repeated, let alone twice in a row. This is basically the exact same election. Republicans should be worried about states like North Carolina and Texas flipping, and same for Democrats with Arizona and the Midwest.
Okay, yeah, so that was kind of my snide joke- the majority of states in the HOR are Republican, so those stupid tweets from 2020 showing the electoral map as vastly red and ignorantly not understanding that land mass isn’t the same as electoral college votes, and we’re rightfully corrected, would suddenly be true.
Posted by u/JCEurovision - 3 votes and 12 comments
Again - if this is actually true, Trump is winning in an electoral college landslide, and Arizona/Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are NOT tossups. And much more minor quibble: if Florida is lean Republican (I think it's closer to solid Republican), then Texas should be lean Republican at most, if not a tossup.
My prediction for a 2024 US presidential election electoral college map (prediction made April 25, 2022), and Republicans' most likely path to the white house in 2024:
For example, Texas got bluer in 2020 compared to 2012, hence the Democratic win; while New York got redder in 2020 compared to 2012, hence the Republican win. Nothing else matters in the Electoral College math. It goes to show how stacked the Electoral College can get against the winner of the presidential popular vote.