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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Our latest forecast shows a toss-up race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Harris has a 56-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College...
At the moment Harris has an ever-so-slight edge — she has a 56 percent chance of winning the election to Trump’s 44 percent chance — but we’re about as close to a pure tossup as you can get. Harris is still hurt by Electoral College bias though. She leads by 3.1 points in our national polling average but only 1.3 points in the Pennsylvania average.
With five weeks to go until the election, the polls show a close and stable race for president. Overall, Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump in The New York Times’s average of national...
Narrow victories in a handful of swing states will likely determine whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election on November 5. This tracker uses the latest national...
According to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker 1, 43.7 percent of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president, while 51 percent disapprove (a net approval rating...
As vice-president she is tied to the Biden administration’s record, which is unpopular despite the major legislation it passed to onshore chip manufacturing and invest in green energy.