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Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online G Elliott Morris on Twitter: " The difference between Biden’s margin in the Electoral College tipping point state (likely PA, others possible) and the national popular vote is closer to 1.5 points in our forecast ...
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. 538 website redesigned to integrate into ABC News. Not just redesigned, fivethirtyeight.com is dead and redirects to a vertical on ABC News. And it sucks.
DARKO has daily box predictions for the NBA, nothing seasonal though. It’s the best all-in-one metric for the NBA and is built off Bayesian box score estimates and RAPM – really nice methodology section. Basketball Index has imo the 2nd best all-in-one metric and use it to make daily, seasonal, and post-season projections. 3.
Any chance someone can send me the xls file of the probabilities? I have been using these rankings for my work pool the past three years and am lost without them lol. 21K subscribers in the fivethirtyeight community. Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election….
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. My Breakdown of the 13 Keys - June Update. We're now in June and here's how the 13 Keys stand from my perspective... Party Mandate - The incumbent party lost seats in the previous midterms, so this key is FALSE.
r/fivethirtyeight: Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Press J to jump to the feed. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts
Tetragrammaton • 9 yr. ago. Also, the most important thing to note is that FiveThirtyEight gives probabilistic predictions. For instance, their "polls-plus" prediction for the Iowa caucuses says that Trump has a 46% chance of winning the most votes, while Cruz has a 39% chance of winning. This often gets reported as "they're predicting Trump ...
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online Quinnipiac National Poll: Biden-Trump Matchup Margin Razor Thin With Nearly 1 In 5 Voters Likely To Change Their Minds, Biden +1 (48/47), +3 (41/38/14/2/2)
Welcome to the Weekly Polling Megathread, your repository for all news stories of the best of the rest polls. The top 25 pollsters by the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings are allowed to be posted as their own separate discussion thread. Currently the top 25 are: Rank. Pollster.
Yeah, I generally like NYT, but I do wish they weren't quite so unbalanced on the opinion side. I often listen to both The Daily and The Journal (from WSJ), and I think The Journal does a better job on average, in no small part due to the factthat they're sort of straddling the ideological spectrum, so they're more likely to have smart people with worthwhile points and counterpoints.