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538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023. On September 18, 2023, the original website domain at fivethirtyeight.com was closed, and web traffic became redirected to ABC News ...
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023.
2024. 2028 →. v. t. e. This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among ...
Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage. Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean". Lean: Slight advantage. Likely: Significant, but surmountable, advantage (highest rating given by CBS News and NPR) Safe or solid: Near-certain chance of victory. State or district.
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
March 4, 2024. The U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled that efforts by the state of Colorado along with Maine to remove former President Donald Trump from the ballot per the Fourteenth Amendment of the United States Constitution were unconstitutional. North Dakota caucus held. March 1–3, 2024.
A national average calculated by statistical analysis group FiveThirtyEight.com from polls dating back to June 20 and including Echelon's shows Ramaswamy with of 4% support, placing him fourth in ...
Rasmussen Reports / ˈræsˌmʌsən / [4] is an American polling company founded in 2003. [5] [6] The company engages in political commentary and the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Rasmussen Reports conducts nightly tracking, at national and state levels, of elections, politics, current events ...